Titre : | A time-series analysis of the drug issue, 1985-1990: the press, the president and public opinion |
Titre traduit : | (Une série d'analyses dans le temps sur la question des drogues, 1985-1990 : la presse, le président et l'opinion publique) |
Auteurs : | GONZENBACH W. J. |
Type de document : | Périodique |
Année de publication : | 1992 |
Format : | 126-147 / graph. |
Note générale : |
International Journal of Public Opinion Research, 1992, 4, (2), 126-147 |
Langues: | Français |
Discipline : | SHS (Sciences humaines et sociales / Humanities and social sciences) |
Mots-clés : |
Thésaurus mots-clés OPINION ; REPRESENTATION SOCIALE ; MEDIA ; PRESSE ; EPIDEMIOLOGIEThésaurus géographique ETATS-UNIS |
Résumé : |
ENGLISH : This study examines the triangular relationship of the press, the president and public opinion about the drug issue in the United States from 1985 to 1990. Agenda-setting theory serves as the theoretical foundation for the ARIMA time-series analysis, which attempts to address who is driving the public opinion formation process about drugs: the press, the president, or the public. The study employs a unique method in that "most important problem" survey results from nine organizations are quilted into a time-series of 70 monthly points to measure the public agenda. The press agenda is based on a computerized content analysis of the frequency of coverage of the drug issue, and the presidential agenda is based on a similar analysis of the presidents' public relations agendas. The three univariate time-series are identified, estimated, and diagnosed. Then the white-noise component of each is used in a cross-correlation analysis to address the research question. The results indicate that public opinion mirrors or immediately follows the press, though public opinion also drives the press agenda. Second, the study suggests that the president is following the public agenda, though the president also has strong immediate influence on public opinion. And, finally it suggests the president mirrors and follows the media, in addition to following public opinion. The trend of opinion, when viewed in relation to the history of events surrounding the issue, suggests that the public opinion formation process, as measured through the lens of public opinion polls, may be a matter of public perceptions of the reality of the issue and of the pseudo-realities of information campaigns and presidential and press attention, which may have their origins back in the heart of the public concern. (Review' s abstract) |
Note de contenu : | graph. |
Domaine : | Drogues illicites / Illicit drugs |
Refs biblio. : | 52 |
Affiliation : |
College of Communication, Univ. of Alabama Etats-Unis. United States. |
Numéro Toxibase : | 1300463 |
Centre Emetteur : | 13 OFDT |
Cote : | A00845 |
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