Titre : | Are alcohol excise taxes good for us? Short and long-term effects on mortality rates (2005) |
Auteurs : | P. J. COOK ; J. OSTERMANN ; F. A. SLOAN |
Type de document : | Article : Périodique |
Dans : | NBER Working Papers (n°11138, February 2005) |
Article en page(s) : | 22 p. |
Langues: | Anglais |
Discipline : | LOI (Loi et son application / Law enforcement) |
Mots-clés : |
Thésaurus mots-clés TYPE D'USAGE ; ECONOMIE ; ALCOOL ; MORTALITE ; TAXE ; PRIXThésaurus géographique ETATS-UNIS |
Résumé : | Regression results from a 30-year panel of the state-level data indicate that changes in alcohol-excise taxes cause a reduction in drinking and lower all-cause mortality in the short run. But those results do not fully capture the long-term mortality effects of a permanent change in drinking levels. In particular, since moderate drinking has a protective effect against heart disease in middle age, it is possible that a reduction in per capita drinking will result in some people drinking "too little" and dying sooner than they otherwise would. To explore that possibility, we simulate the effect of a one percent reduction in drinking on all-cause mortality for the age group 35-69, using several alternative assumptions about how the reduction is distributed across this population. We find that the long-term mortality effect of a one percent reduction in drinking is essentially nil. (Author's abstract) |
Domaine : | Alcool / Alcohol |
Affiliation : | Etats-Unis. United States. |
Centre Emetteur : | 13 OFDT |
Cote : | A02419 |
Lien : | http://www.nber.org/papers/w11138 |
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